Low Premium Option Report - Stocks hitting the bottom

We think stocks on this report may be oversold, requiring further review.

The reason for this, is because the Puts being sold, appear to be lacking a significant profit, where they may yield 4-8% over 12-24 months, and the risks of inflation and time are not worth the sale of these Puts. The stocks on the list seem to have gone down so far that people are not willing to pay much for the Puts. Therefore, we view these stocks as low risk bets. Keep in mind, this is only one of the tools we use when deciding when to enter a trade.

Our research list below does not include very low yielding Puts, (ie. less than 4%) as we found there may be underlying problems with them (eg. restructuring, bankruptcy, unforeseen problems, etc.)

We look at the premium paid on a Put for a strike price that is 20% lower than today's price. We do this to measure the risk in the event of a correction.

We did receive one contradictory opinion (privately) against this method, by a gentleman with over 20 years on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and who runs a Hedge Fund. His opinion on this method,

"Option premiums are driven by factors like strike price, days to expiration, interest rates, etc. However, just like any other market, supply and demand for individual options play an important role. The more demand for an option, the higher the premium. In most cases, the premium for a 30 delta Put is usually higher than the premium for a 30 delta call. The reason is that many people use Puts as an insurance policy to protect a stock's downside. The more demand for these Puts the higher the premium and the Implied Volatility of the option. In theory, the Implied Option Volatility indicates the perceived 'movement' of the stock over a period of time. The larger the Implied Volatility, the greater the deviation of the stock price from its current price. This is just the mathematical computation used in the Black Sholes Option Pricing Model. Option premiums are highly influenced by supply and demand issues. Option premiums are also influenced by the liquidity and daily trading volume of the stock. It is very common for two similar stocks to have vastly different implied volatility measures even if their monthly standard deviations are mathematically the same. Many of the stocks are large cap stocks with deep liquidity and large trading volume. In addition, many of these stocks have lagged the overall market returns since the recent market bottom in March which also can account for their low option premiums as investors are not looking for downside protection."

While we agree with his facts, we disagree with his opinion.

If you are a professional or non-professional, we invite your comments on this subject by participating in our FORUMS.

Underlying SymbolNameOption SymbolExpirationPremium LastPremium BidPremium AskLastStrikeUnderlying Price
ACASAmerican Capital Strategies, Ltd.ACAS110521P000050002011-05-216%6%6%$0.30$5.00$6.57
ADMArcher Daniels Midland CoADM120121P000250002012-01-216%6%6%$1.52$25.00$33.71
AEISAdvanced Energy Industries, Inc.AEIS110416P000100002011-04-167%5%7%$0.70$10.00$14.53
AEPAmerican Elec Pwr Co IncAEP130119P000250002013-01-197%6%7%$1.65$25.00$36.46
AGCOAGCO110521P000350002011-05-214%5%5%$1.45$35.00$43.83
AGGAGCO110521P000350002011-06-184%5%5%$1.45$35.00$108.51
AIRA A R CorpAIR110521P000175002011-05-217%5%6%$1.15$17.50$22.72
ALBAlbemarle CorpALB110618P000400002011-06-184%4%4%$1.70$40.00$50.07
ALKAlaska Air Group IncALK110416P000400002011-04-168%5%6%$3.08$40.00$50.83
ALNYALNY110618P000100002011-06-186%5%6%$0.55$10.00$13.68
ARCCAllied Riser Communications CorporationARCC110618P000130002011-06-185%5%6%$0.68$13.00$16.53
ARUNARUN110416P000160002011-04-167%6%7%$1.15$16.00$20.28
AVIDAvid Technology, Inc.AVID110618P000100002011-06-186%5%7%$0.55$10.00$12.80
BBVABBVA110416P000100002011-04-166%5%6%$0.60$10.00$13.39
BBYBest Buy Co IncBBY120121P000300002012-01-216%6%6%$1.91$30.00$43.08
BEXPBrigham Exploration CompanyBEXP110416P000160002011-04-168%6%8%$1.25$16.00$20.35
BKBank Of New YorkBK120121P000175002012-01-216%7%7%$1.05$17.50$24.93
BMYBristol Myers Squibb CoBMY120121P000200002012-01-216%5%6%$1.12$20.00$27.16
BNDBoundless CorporationBMY120121P000200002011-06-186%5%6%$1.12$20.00$82.67
BNSBns CoBMY120121P000200002011-06-186%5%6%$1.12$20.00$53.42
BNZBMY120121P000200002011-04-166%5%6%$1.12$20.00$24.05
BRK.BBRKB120121P000650002012-01-216%6%6%$3.90$65.00$83.33
CCitigroup IncC120121P000025002012-01-216%6%6%$0.16$2.50$4.21
CAHCardinal Health IncCAH120121P000250002012-01-217%6%7%$1.80$25.00$32.41
CALMCal-maine Foods, Inc.CALM110521P000225002011-05-214%4%5%$1.00$22.50$28.70
CBOECBOE110618P000190002011-06-186%5%6%$1.05$19.00$24.37
CCJCameco CorpCCJ120121P000225002012-01-218%7%8%$1.69$22.50$30.90
CCKCrown Cork & Seal Inc PaCCK120121P000250002012-01-217%5%5%$1.75$25.00$31.27
CEDCCentral European Distribution CorporationCEDC110618P000175002011-06-187%6%7%$1.15$17.50$23.55
CHLChina Mobile Hk LtdCHL120121P000400002012-01-215%5%5%$1.90$40.00$52.03
CISGCISG110416P000200002011-04-166%4%6%$1.20$20.00$26.34
CLRClarion Commercial HoldinCLR110618P000350002011-06-185%5%5%$1.70$35.00$46.78
CNQRConcur Technologies, Inc.CNQR110521P000400002011-05-216%5%6%$2.45$40.00$50.61
CRICRI110618P000200002011-06-186%6%7%$1.20$20.00$25.50
CRZOCarrizo Oil & Gas, Inc.CRZO110416P000175002011-04-166%5%6%$1.00$17.50$23.50
CSCabletron Systems IncCRZO110416P000175002011-06-186%5%6%$1.00$17.50$41.59
CTBCooper Tire & Rubber CoCTB110521P000150002011-05-215%5%6%$0.80$15.00$20.38
CTCMCTCM110521P000175002011-05-214%4%5%$0.75$17.50$23.51
CTCTCTCM110521P000175002011-06-184%4%5%$0.75$17.50$21.10
CVXCVX120121P000675002012-01-217%6%7%$4.90$67.50$84.87
CYBXCyberonics, Inc.CYBX110416P000225002011-04-167%4%5%$1.55$22.50$29.12
CYDChina Yuchai Intl LtdCYD110521P000175002011-05-215%5%6%$0.90$17.50$24.68
CYHCommunity Health SystemsCYD110521P000175002011-06-185%5%6%$0.90$17.50$30.52
CZZCZZ110618P000100002011-06-186%6%8%$0.61$10.00$12.70
DDominion Resources Inc VaD120121P000350002012-01-215%5%5%$1.75$35.00$44.46
DBRNDBRN110618P000180002011-06-186%4%6%$1.00$18.00$23.01
DECKDeckers Outdoor CorporationDECK110618P000400002011-06-187%6%7%$2.80$40.00$53.86
DGIDGI110618P000250002011-06-185%4%6%$1.20$25.00$32.44
DIADiamonds Trust Series IDIA120121P000850002012-01-215%4%4%$4.30$85.00$111.71
DJXDJX120616P000850002012-06-166%5%6%$5.25$85.00$111.64
DSWSouthwestern Bell TelephoDSW110416P000250002011-04-167%5%6%$1.70$25.00$32.96
DUKDuke Energy CorpDUK130119P000125002013-01-195%4%8%$0.65$12.50$17.77
DUXDUK130119P000125002011-06-185%4%8%$0.65$12.50$405.20
EEMMerrill Lynch & Co., Inc.EEM120121P000350002012-01-216%6%6%$2.10$35.00$46.53
EFAEFA120121P000450002012-01-217%6%7%$3.11$45.00$57.51
EFGEFA120121P000450002011-05-217%6%7%$3.11$45.00$59.50
EGLEEGLE110618P000040002011-06-185%5%6%$0.20$4.00$5.18
EJEJ110521P000130002011-05-217%7%8%$0.85$13.00$17.30
EMREmerson Electric CoEMR120121P000400002012-01-216%6%7%$2.55$40.00$54.95
EMSC Mac Industries IncEMR120121P000400002011-06-186%6%7%$2.55$40.00$54.16
ENOCENOC110618P000225002011-06-186%6%7%$1.45$22.50$30.39
ENSENS110618P000200002011-06-186%5%6%$1.15$20.00$26.81
ERTSERTS120121P000100002012-01-216%5%8%$0.59$10.00$15.62
EXBDEXBD110618P000225002011-06-185%4%5%$1.20$22.50$30.85
FFord Motor CompanyF120121P000100002012-01-217%7%7%$0.69$10.00$14.15
FAAF120121P000100002011-06-187%7%7%$0.69$10.00$41.39
FINLFINL110521P000125002011-05-216%6%8%$0.75$12.50$16.18
FNFFidelity National FinanciFNF110618P000100002011-06-186%5%6%$0.55$10.00$13.12
FOEFerro CorpFOE110416P000100002011-04-165%6%7%$0.45$10.00$13.06
FOSLFossil, Inc.FOSL110618P000450002011-06-188%6%6%$3.50$45.00$57.30
GDXGDX120121P000400002012-01-218%7%8%$3.00$40.00$55.74
GFAGFA110618P000125002011-06-185%4%7%$0.63$12.50$16.28
GILGildan Activewear IncGIL110618P000225002011-06-186%5%6%$1.30$22.50$28.22
GLBCGLBC110618P000100002011-06-187%5%7%$0.65$10.00$14.45
GOOGGOOG120121P004900002012-01-217%6%6%$32.33$490.00$616.50
GPIGroup 1 Automotive, Inc.GPI110416P000250002011-04-167%7%7%$1.75$25.00$32.34
GTIGTI110618P000125002011-06-187%5%6%$0.90$12.50$17.10
GTIVGentiva Health Services, Inc.GTI110618P000125002011-05-217%5%6%$0.90$12.50$23.52
GTLSGlobal Telesystems IncGTI110618P000125002011-06-187%5%6%$0.90$12.50$21.66
HARHarman Intl Inds IncHAR110416P000275002011-04-168%5%6%$2.10$27.50$35.19
HBCHsbc Holdings PlcHBC120121P000400002012-01-216%5%6%$2.26$40.00$52.43
HITKHi-tech Pharmacal Co., Inc.HITK110416P000175002011-04-166%4%5%$1.00$17.50$22.57
HONHoneywell InternationalHON120121P000350002012-01-216%6%6%$2.25$35.00$47.53
IDCCInterdigital Communications Corp.IDCC120121P000225002012-01-217%5%7%$1.55$22.50$30.41
INGIng Groep Nv AdrING110416P000090002011-04-167%5%6%$0.60$9.00$11.35
ININInteractive Intelligence, Inc.ING110416P000090002011-06-187%5%6%$0.60$9.00$23.57
INPING110416P000090002011-06-187%5%6%$0.60$9.00$79.79
IPSUIPSU110416P000100002011-04-168%5%8%$0.75$10.00$13.18
IPXLImpax Laboratories, Inc.IPSU110416P000100002011-06-188%5%8%$0.75$10.00$21.29
IRIngersoll Rand CoIR120121P000300002012-01-217%7%7%$2.00$30.00$39.87
ITWIllinois Tool Works IncITW120121P000375002012-01-218%7%8%$2.85$37.50$46.94
IYRIshares Dow Jones U.s. Real Estate Index FundIYR120121P000400002012-01-216%6%7%$2.45$40.00$56.15
IYTIYR120121P000400002011-06-186%6%7%$2.45$40.00$86.18
IYYIshares Dow Jones U.s. Total Market Index FundIYR120121P000400002011-03-196%6%7%$2.45$40.00$59.45
JNJJohnson & JohnsonJNJ130119P000500002013-01-198%8%8%$3.80$50.00$63.98
JNSJNS110618P000080002011-06-185%4%8%$0.40$8.00$10.78
JOBSJOBS110416P000350002011-04-166%4%7%$2.10$35.00$46.54
JPMJp Morgan Chase And CoJPM120121P000250002012-01-217%7%7%$1.71$25.00$37.07
KFNKFN110416P000070002011-04-166%4%6%$0.41$7.00$8.97
KFTKFT120121P000250002012-01-214%4%4%$1.08$25.00$32.47
KMBKimberly Clark CorpKMB130119P000500002013-01-197%6%7%$3.30$50.00$66.47
KOCoca ColaKO130119P000450002013-01-196%6%7%$2.85$45.00$61.01
KOFCoca Cola Femsa Sa De CvKO130119P000450002011-05-216%6%7%$2.85$45.00$76.96
KRCKilroy Realty CorpKRC110521P000275002011-05-216%4%5%$1.55$27.50$35.03
KSKS110521P000100002011-05-218%5%7%$0.75$10.00$13.21
LFTLFT110618P000300002011-06-186%5%6%$1.75$30.00$38.86
LFUSLittelfuse, Inc.LFT110618P000300002011-06-186%5%6%$1.75$30.00$42.62
LIFELifeline Systems, Inc.LIFE120121P000350002012-01-216%5%6%$1.95$35.00$47.93
LIILennox International IncLIFE120121P000350002011-06-186%5%6%$1.95$35.00$43.27
LLLL110521P000175002011-05-215%5%6%$0.95$17.50$24.66
LMTLockheed Martin CorpLMT120121P000550002012-01-215%5%5%$2.90$55.00$71.41
LNNLindsay Manufacturing CoLNN110618P000450002011-06-187%5%7%$3.10$45.00$56.72
LTMLTM110521P000250002011-05-215%5%6%$1.30$25.00$37.24
LUVSouthwest Airlines CoLUV120121P000100002012-01-217%6%7%$0.70$10.00$13.54
LYVLYV110416P000075002011-04-167%5%7%$0.50$7.50$9.55
LZLubrizol CorpLYV110416P000075002011-06-187%5%7%$0.50$7.50$114.81
MACMacerich CoMAC110618P000350002011-06-187%6%7%$2.40$35.00$45.00
MANManpower Inc WisMAN110618P000450002011-06-186%6%6%$2.80$45.00$56.46
MCDMcdonalds CorporationMCD120121P000625002012-01-215%4%4%$2.90$62.50$78.70
MDASMDAS110618P000175002011-06-187%5%6%$1.15$17.50$22.24
MDCMDC110618P000200002011-06-186%5%6%$1.15$20.00$26.51
MFCManulife Financial CorpMFC110618P000100002011-06-188%6%7%$0.75$10.00$12.58
MOPhilip Morris Cos IncMO120121P000200002012-01-216%6%6%$1.10$20.00$25.06
NDN99 Cents Only StoresNDN110618P000125002011-06-185%4%6%$0.60$12.50$16.03
NDONDN110618P000125002011-09-175%4%6%$0.60$12.50$75.22
NDSNNordson CorporationNDN110618P000125002011-06-185%4%6%$0.60$12.50$79.76
NOCNorthrop Grumman CorpNOC120121P000450002012-01-215%5%6%$2.40$45.00$60.91
NSCNorfolk Southern CorpNSC120121P000450002012-01-217%6%7%$3.08$45.00$61.97
NVDANvidia CorporationNVDA120121P000075002012-01-217%7%7%$0.55$7.50$11.91
NVLSNovellus Systems, Inc.NVLS120121P000200002012-01-217%7%8%$1.40$20.00$27.81
ORCLORCL120121P000225002012-01-217%7%7%$1.60$22.50$28.84
PEETPEET110618P000300002011-06-187%4%6%$1.95$30.00$38.49
PEPPepsico IncPEP130119P000500002013-01-197%7%7%$3.46$50.00$65.05
PFEPfizer Inc.PFE120121P000125002012-01-216%6%6%$0.72$12.50$17.62
PHHPHH110521P000150002011-05-216%4%6%$0.90$15.00$19.47
PMPM120121P000450002012-01-216%5%6%$2.50$45.00$59.47
POTPotash Corp Saskatch IncPOT120121P001100002012-01-215%4%5%$5.56$110.00$143.70
PPOPPO110618P000250002011-06-187%6%8%$1.85$25.00$34.60
PTRPetrochina CoPTR120121P001000002012-01-217%5%8%$6.80$100.00$127.79
PXPraxair IncPX120121P000750002012-01-216%6%7%$4.60$75.00$93.77
QQQQQuantech LtdQQQQ120121P000400002012-01-215%5%6%$2.16$40.00$51.89
RAILRailamerica, Inc.RAIL110618P000200002011-06-186%5%6%$1.15$20.00$27.47
RBSRBS110521P000100002011-05-216%6%8%$0.60$10.00$14.20
RDWRRadware Ltd.RDWR110618P000250002011-06-184%4%4%$1.05$25.00$35.93
RSReliance Steel & AluminumRS110618P000300002011-06-185%4%5%$1.50$30.00$41.64
SCHWSCHW120121P000100002012-01-218%5%7%$0.75$10.00$15.00
SCHXSCHW120121P000100002011-05-218%5%7%$0.75$10.00$28.16
SHFLShuffle Master, Inc.SHFL110521P000070002011-05-217%5%8%$0.50$7.00$8.89
SHLMA. Schulman, Inc.SHLM110416P000175002011-04-168%4%5%$1.35$17.50$22.27
SHWSherwin Williams CoSHW120121P000550002012-01-216%4%5%$3.10$55.00$74.57
SHYSHW120121P000550002011-06-186%4%5%$3.10$55.00$84.48
SLGSl Green Realty CorpSLG110521P000550002011-05-217%5%5%$3.70$55.00$70.04
SNPChina Petroleum &chemicalSNP120121P000750002012-01-216%5%7%$4.60$75.00$96.78
SOSouthern CoSO130119P000300002013-01-197%7%8%$2.17$30.00$38.18
STDBanco Santander Cent HispSTD110618P000100002011-06-186%5%7%$0.55$10.00$13.13
STJSt Jude Medical IncSTJ120121P000300002012-01-216%6%6%$1.70$30.00$38.29
STXSTX120121P000100002012-01-215%5%5%$0.48$10.00$14.81
SWNSouthwestern Energy CoSWN120121P000250002012-01-216%7%7%$1.62$25.00$33.96
SWYSafeway IncSWY120121P000175002012-01-217%6%7%$1.15$17.50$22.50
SYKStryker CorpSYK120121P000400002012-01-217%6%7%$2.60$40.00$51.27
TBTTBT120121P000260002012-01-217%7%7%$1.70$26.00$33.18
TMRKTMRK110416P000075002011-04-167%5%7%$0.50$7.50$9.90
TMVTMRK110416P000075002011-05-217%5%7%$0.50$7.50$37.07
TNBThomas & Betts CorpTNB110618P000350002011-06-185%4%5%$1.70$35.00$44.33
TRLGTRLG110416P000170002011-04-166%6%7%$1.01$17.00$21.97
UFSUFS110416P000600002011-04-166%4%6%$3.50$60.00$75.73
UPLUltra Petroleum Corp.UPL120121P000300002012-01-217%5%6%$1.95$30.00$41.49
USTRUnited Stationers Inc.USTR110618P000450002011-06-187%5%7%$3.00$45.00$56.78
VARVarian Medical Systems InVAR120121P000450002012-01-218%4%6%$3.42$45.00$61.15
VLOValero Energy Corp NewVLO120121P000125002012-01-217%7%7%$0.88$12.50$17.77
VPRTVPRT110416P000300002011-04-166%5%5%$1.85$30.00$39.67
VRSNVerisign, Inc.VRSN120121P000250002012-01-216%5%6%$1.60$25.00$33.35
VSIVSI110521P000225002011-05-217%5%8%$1.50$22.50$28.66
WMWashington Mutual IncWM130119P000250002013-01-197%6%8%$1.85$25.00$36.88
WMTWal-mart Stores IncWMT120121P000425002012-01-215%4%4%$1.98$42.50$53.95
WMXWMT120121P000425002011-03-195%4%4%$1.98$42.50$60.85
WRLDWorld Acceptance CorporationWRLD110416P000300002011-04-166%5%7%$1.65$30.00$39.25
XCOXCO110618P000110002011-06-186%7%8%$0.70$11.00$14.02
XDAXCO110618P000110002011-09-176%7%8%$0.70$11.00$99.03
XDBXCO110618P000110002011-09-176%7%8%$0.70$11.00$157.33
XDCXCO110618P000110002011-09-176%7%8%$0.70$11.00$98.09
XDEXCO110618P000110002011-09-176%7%8%$0.70$11.00$139.66
XDMXCO110618P000110002011-02-196%7%8%$0.70$11.00$80.93
XDNXCO110618P000110002011-09-176%7%8%$0.70$11.00$123.74
XDSXCO110618P000110002011-09-176%7%8%$0.70$11.00$102.99
XDVXCO110618P000110002011-02-196%7%8%$0.70$11.00$172.61
XDZXCO110618P000110002011-02-196%7%8%$0.70$11.00$75.22
XLESelect Sector Spdr Fund - Energy Select SectorXLE120121P000450002012-01-216%6%6%$2.89$45.00$59.46
XLFSelect Sector Spdr Fund - FinancialXLF120121P000110002012-01-216%6%7%$0.70$11.00$14.55
XLISelect Sector Spdr Fund - IndustrialXLI120121P000250002012-01-216%6%6%$1.62$25.00$32.59
XLKSelect Sector Spdr Fund - TechnologyXLK120121P000190002012-01-216%5%5%$1.17$19.00$24.18
XLUSelect Sector Spdr Fund - UtilitiesXLU120121P000250002012-01-214%4%5%$1.07$25.00$31.80
XLVSelect Sector Spdr Fund - Consumer ServicesXLV120121P000250002012-01-215%4%5%$1.32$25.00$31.40
XLYSelect Sector Spdr Fund - Cyclical/transportationXLY120121P000250002012-01-215%5%5%$1.17$25.00$35.18
XMEXLY120121P000250002011-06-185%5%5%$1.17$25.00$55.69
XRTXRT120121P000300002012-01-216%5%5%$1.65$30.00$43.63
ZMHZMH120121P000400002012-01-215%4%5%$1.99$40.00$51.56

Source: ActiveValueTrader.com


DISCLAIMER: Investing is risky. You can lose some or all of your money. This product is meant for educational purposes only. Void where prohibited. No warranty expressed or implied. This is not an offer to sell securities. Not responsible for errors. Consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

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Newest date of data in database: 2010-10-26

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Newest Message: Importing options data into database at 2010-10-26 16:26:05